Lonza outlines new mid-term guidance 2024 – 28

Lonza outlines new mid-term guidance 2024 – 28

Lonza outlined its Mid-Term Guidance for 2024 to 2028, including: 11–13% sales growth, 32–34% CORE EBITDA margin and double-digit ROIC

  • By ICN Bureau | October 17, 2023

Lonza shared a detailed update on its strategic priorities and provided new Mid-Term Guidance for 2024 to 2028 at its Capital Markets Day in Visp (CH).

The following five strategic priorities support the company's ongoing commitment to sustainable value creation: Continuous innovation to anticipate future customer needs, Collaboration built on early customer partnerships and customized solutions, Industry-leading service delivery, with a consistent focus on quality, Operational excellence and a culture of continuous improvement and Disciplined capital allocation strategy.

The company’s resilient business is underpinned by long-term customer contracts and a broad portfolio of high value offerings to meet complex customer needs. Building on this stable foundation, the company continues to execute its long-term investment strategy to drive future growth in areas of sustained market demand.

The company issued new Group Mid-Term Guidance 2024 – 2028, supported by the ramp-up of commercial growth assets and a continued focus on operational excellence. Mid-Term Guidance 2028 includes: 11–13% Sales CAGR in CER, 32–34% CORE EBITDA margin, and double-digit ROIC.

The 2023 Capital Markets Day was hosted by Albert M. Baehny, Chairman of the Board of Directors and CEO ad interim. He said: “Lonza maintains a sharp focus on executing its strategy and growth projects to capture opportunities and maintain industry leadership. Today, we shared in detail how our investment program will deliver in the mid-term. Our disciplined capital allocation strategy will support customers in bringing treatments quickly and securely to the market, whilst securing sustainable long-term value for our shareholders, stakeholders and society.”

Lonza has also increased its dividend payout range from 25–40% to a new range of 35–45%, showing confidence in its financial strength.

Lonza also issued its quarterly qualitative performance update for Q3 2023. Group financial performance in Q3 reflects continued strong CDMO business dynamics and sustained commercial demand. Biotech funding constraints continued to impact growth in early-stage services in Biologics and led to lower sales growth rates in Cell & Gene. Capsules & Health Ingredients saw continued softness in the US nutraceutical market.

Lonza reconfirmed its Outlook 2023, which was restated in the Half-Year 2023 Results in July.  CER sales growth will be at the higher end of mid-to-high single-digit Outlook, with a CORE EBITDA margin above the guided 28 to 29%. This increase is driven by the one-time termination fee associated with the Moderna mRNA contract cancellation agreement in September 2023.

Business growth in 2024 will be offset by the higher base in 2023 from the Moderna termination agreement, the subsequent lost Moderna revenue in 2024, and the risk of a smaller Kodiak Sciences business in 2024. In this context, we anticipate a margin in the high twenties. Further details on Outlook 2024 will be provided at Lonza’s Full-Year Results 2023 presentation in January.

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